This time, it is way, way different. I can count several who will not be going to Tokyo to vacation but with serious intent. Neeraj Chopra seems the only legit candidate and even he is somewhat a dark horse because of his competition. He may throw over 90m by August but around 8 or so have done so as well. All 3 Germans can throw well over 90m; Vetter will be favourite to win Gold but he can be inconsistent; Rohler and Hoffman are 92+m throwers too. A few others like Yego can throw big too. Even with all this taken into account, hoping for a medal from Neeraj is a prediction I share as well. Unless Kamalpreet Kaur is found to be on PEDs, she is a favourite to at least make the finals of the discus throw (women). If she throws less than 60m in qualifying, then she was on juice when she threw over 66m. I am sorely hoping that wasn’t the case or that she is at least not caught.
A few others like M. Sreeshankar, Annu Rani and Avinash Sable seem dark horses, more so than Neeraj. If Sree jumps around 8.35m to 8.40m, then a Bronze is not out of the question. If Annu can somehow speed up her run up & refine her technique, she can throw over 66m, maybe earning a Bronze. Avinash will likely smash the 3000m SC national record again and I hope for a sub 8min 10sec time. If the middle distance event turns into a slow final, then they stand a chance to nick a medal. Very difficult to do so but stranger things have happened. I think the late June events held in India to help athletes qualify will be key to assess the readiness of the medal contenders and dark horses.
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